from syrian perspective
Anonymous
September 24th, 2014 at 8:24 PM [Level 0 - Anonymous]
My conclusions /Observations..
1) It is clear that at very least the Syrian Government is giving an opportunity to Obama to reverse the damage he have done to Syria , just an opportunity to see what happens..
2)Syria have nothing much to lose with air strikes in north east of Syria... specially because Obama notified Syrian government of their intentions.. means recognition of Assad behind the scenes..as President..
3) Russia and IRAN pushing for an UN resolution for guarantees that Obama cannot change its plans from ISIS to Assad.
Other things however..
4)The flyover over northern Syria alone will not produce much gains/advantage over Syrian defenses ,you can map Syrian Radars space without invading Syria anyway..
5)Syrian Radars are not all active.. They have been setup by Russia and they are interconnected..So if Russia wanted to do it.. they could configure things in a way that one lonely radar in Tartus and another in Damascus can be the eyes of all Syria Sam defenses.. at least above 3km to 5km above land should be seen. You only need Radars close to your enemies if they are flying low altitude.. but at low altitude planes are vulnerable to manpads and regular gun fire including the F-22..it cannot hide its signal a short distance only at far.. it means that any soviet Sam Defense from vietnam era will be enough to finish an F-22 if make the mistake to step on the zone of a Sam Defenses without its Radars turned off.. but receiving data from another Radar .
6)So called Holes that US talk about Syrian defenses are non sense.. Simply Syria do not show all its cards .. and all its Radars.. you either can have passive radars and they cannot be detected like mobile defences TOR/Pansir or Buks or simply you have them connected in a network and 12 Air defenses units can be connected but only 1 reveal its position.. US airforce could target avoid the one they see ,but they will not avoid the ones they do not see. For example Russian Radars in Russian Territory for sure are connected with Syria.. So if Russia wanted they could share information.. and virtually Syria could turn off all its radars and only use the Russian ones in main land or the ones at Russian warships. with the limitation of altitude that cannot see low level flying planes.. but such planes are vulnerable to manpads or regular artillery .So the so called holes that US claim "mapped" means nothing..is only what Syria wants to show.
7)US can attack with Drones and Tomahawks misisles.. the greatest danger is massive attacks of Tomahawks on Syrian military bases.. however Syria have tools to counter that.. Pantisirs and Tors can defeat low flying Cruise missiles and S-300s.. 50% of the time according to Russia. the ones that fail could be defeated by GPS jammers.. they basically copy the signals the tomahawks receive and repeats them again ..with the result of confusing the cruise missile.. GPS jammers can be very effective. and im sure Russia have given them to Syria. Only way to avoid GPS jammers is with Ballistic missiles but such attacks you cannot hide from Russian radars since fly high altitude. Russian Vorodez Radars for example detected Israel test of ballisctic missiles all the way to Syrian border.
8)There is something called Decoys.. this can be very very effective to fool any attack.. from air to ground missiles chasing a radar image. In a previous video in kosovo war ,their decoys were extremely successful ,Serbia managed to fool NATO airforces used primitive home decoys. And made them to bomb fake targets again and again and again.. after 20,000 bombs they only destroyed a dozen of tanks. they will look on NATO planes like Radars and or Tanks or artillery positions. The problem is that NATO cannot fly a sight distance below 4km altitude in Syria to attack anything because will make them vulnerable to any manpad or regular cannons gun fire or even assault rifles.. and ak-47 can shot down an F-22. for example. If is pilot is fool enough to use the plane like a close air support plane..
Take a look at Russia more advanced decoys . they are desgined to look identical to S-300s in satelites images and planes radars ,they also emit the same heat and radiation. only way to notice the fake is a very close distance..
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uZWPyy8Nfj4
This is the reason that for a Real bombing of Syrian Government its enemies needs ground troops with lazer designators because planes flying high are limited its view of real targets, And drones can be hacked with counter electronics. All Said.. US declaring a no fly zone over Syria will not be easy , and free of pain . They will lose many planes /drones if they start attacking Syrian government.
FILE: Workers walk past an iron ore storage site at Yingkou Port, one of China's biggest ports for the import of the commodity, Liaoning province. (Reuters)